Stablecoin Infrastructure Briefing

The CLARITY Act is stalled in the Senate.
Four issues block a floor vote.

Updated June 25, 2026 · StableClarity.com · Research preview
Days since House passed
the CLARITY Act
July 17, 2025
Working weeks before
midterm recess
Target: Oct 5, 2026

The bill cleared the Senate Banking Committee 15–9 on May 14 and has sat on the Senate Legislative Calendar since June 1, eligible for a floor vote that still has no date. Negotiations have since split into two committee tracks, an ethics deal collapsed on June 9, and Polymarket now prices passage this year in the mid-40s — down from about 74% in May. Four issues must be resolved before the Senate can vote, and time is short: it realistically needs to pass before the August recess. The next public milestone is a House field hearing in New York on July 17.

House vote (July 17, 2025) Passed 294–134
Senate Ag Committee (DCIA) Advanced Jan 29, 2026
Senate Banking Committee markup Passed 15–9 (May 14, 2026)
Placed on Senate Legislative Calendar June 1, 2026
Industry floor-vote push (200+ firms) Letter sent June 7, 2026
Reconcile Banking + Ag texts Fractured into two tracks
Ethics-rules negotiation Collapsed June 9 · ongoing
House field hearing (NYC) Scheduled July 17, 2026
Senate floor vote (60 needed) Stalled · no date · target wk of Jul 13
Odds of passage in 2026 Polymarket mid-40s · Galaxy 60–75%
GENIUS Act (stablecoin law) Signed into law
Working weeks before midterm recess calculating…
What's blocking the floor vote: four open issues

Lawmakers say they are ~80–85% aligned on the substance of the bill. The remaining disagreements are narrow but unresolved, and as of June 22 any one of them can keep it off the floor.

1 · Ethics & the president's crypto ties

A closed-door meeting of Sens. Gillibrand, Gallego, Moreno and Lummis collapsed on June 9. Republicans and the White House pulled a provision letting state AGs enforce conflict-of-interest rules; Democrats rejected the narrower Attorney-General-only version as "functionally circular," since the AG serves at the president's pleasure. Trump's World Liberty Financial stake, a planned Truth Social crypto ETF and his memecoin are the backdrop.

2 · DeFi developer shield (Sec. 604)

The bill's liability shield for software developers draws fire from law enforcement, who say it "would severely impede" tracing and prosecuting crypto crime. Sens. Warner and Cortez Masto condition floor support on law-enforcement sign-off. Sen. Lummis: "Software developers should not need an army of lawyers to know if their code is legal."

3 · Senate Agriculture Democrats

The CFTC-side text sits with the Agriculture Committee, whose Democrats still have unresolved concerns over commodities oversight. That split is why the bill fractured into two negotiating tracks this month.

4 · Stablecoin yield

The bank-vs-fintech yield fight (detailed below) is still live. JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon: "The banks will not accept it that way," vowing a fight "down to the wire." No longer the central blocker — but not resolved either.

What the bill does

The CLARITY Act splits the crypto regulatory map in two. The SEC gets jurisdiction over investment contract assets — tokens that function like securities. The CFTC gets exclusive jurisdiction over digital commodities — tokens tied to blockchain utility.

A third category — permitted payment stablecoins — is governed by the framework the GENIUS Act already established.

SEC lane
Investment contract assets

Registration, disclosure, investor protection. Securities treatment for tokens sold as investments.

CFTC lane
Digital commodities

Exchange registration, anti-fraud enforcement, derivatives oversight. Spot market authority.

Existing law
Payment stablecoins

GENIUS Act framework. 1:1 reserve backing. Federal and state issuer licensing.

Why it matters

Without market structure legislation, every crypto company in America operates under enforcement-by-lawsuit. The SEC and CFTC have signaled cooperation, but joint guidance is not statute. The CLARITY Act replaces ambiguity with a statutory framework that tells builders, investors, and compliance teams exactly which rules apply to which assets.

The GENIUS Act settled the stablecoin question. The CLARITY Act settles everything else.

Issue #4 up close: stablecoin yield

Of the four issues, yield carries the most commercial weight, and it nearly stopped the bill in the spring. The question is straightforward: can crypto and fintech platforms pay holders a return on stablecoins comparable to the interest a bank pays on a deposit? One number explains why both sides are spending so heavily on it.

~0.01%
Typical big-bank
savings rate
e.g. Chase
3.5–5%
Rewards exchanges have
paid on USDC balances
e.g. Coinbase, Kraken

That gap — roughly 400× — is the whole war. If fintechs can legally route a Treasury-bill-like return to a stablecoin holder while a checking account pays effectively nothing, the deposit becomes the worse product. Banks know it. So does the crypto industry. Everything else in the yield debate is a fight over that one fact.

TradFi banks say

Yield-bearing stablecoins are insured deposits in disguise. The ABA warns they could swell the stablecoin market from roughly $300B to $2T, draining the cheap deposits banks lend against for mortgages and small-business loans. Treasury floated up to $6.6 trillion in potential deposit flight. ABA members sent 8,000+ letters to Senate offices, and the ABA says the White House "studied the wrong question."

Fintech & crypto say

This is competition the banks would rather outlaw. The White House Council of Economic Advisers found that banning exchange and affiliate yield would add just $2.1 billion to total bank lending — about 0.02%. Sen. Bernie Moreno's verdict on the lobbying blitz: "The banking cartel is in full panic mode."

The line Congress drew — for now
The deal: Language drafted by Senators Tillis (R-NC) and Alsobrooks (D-MD) bans rewards that are "economically or functionally equivalent" to deposit interest, but permits rewards tied to "bona fide activities" — payments, transfers, on-chain usage. Passive, balance-only returns out; activity-linked incentives in. That single sentence is the boundary the entire bill now rides on.
Fintech / crypto response: Mixed at first, then formally endorsed in early May as the price of moving the bill forward.
Banks' response: Not satisfied. After the markup the ABA escalated its lobbying, arguing the "bona fide activities" carve-out is a loophole wide enough to rebuild bank-like yield through exchanges and affiliates. On May 29 JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon put it bluntly"The banks will not accept it that way" — promising a fight down to the wire. They want the carve-out tightened on the Senate floor.
The GENIUS Act gap

The GENIUS Act — already signed into law — bans stablecoin issuers from paying interest directly. But it doesn't address exchanges, affiliates, or partners offering economically equivalent yield on stablecoin balances. The CLARITY Act is where Congress decides whether to close that loophole or codify it.

How we got here
July 17, 2025
House passes CLARITY Act 294–134. Same day: GENIUS Act signed into law.
January 12, 2026
Senate Banking Committee releases 278-page draft with stablecoin yield ban.
January 29, 2026
Senate Ag Committee advances the DCIA (CFTC-side bill). Democrat amendments rejected.
March 1, 2026
White House deadline for stablecoin yield compromise expires without resolution.
Late March 2026
Tillis and Alsobrooks circulate compromise yield language — bans bank-equivalent yield, permits activity-linked rewards.
April 13, 2026
White House crypto adviser signals remaining hurdles being cleared; markup moves into reach.
May 2, 2026
Crypto industry formally backs the yield compromise and pushes Banking for markup.
May 14, 2026
Senate Banking Committee passes CLARITY Act 15–9. Gallego and Alsobrooks are the two Democratic yes votes. 130+ amendments filed, including 44 from Warren; several Republican amendments adopted.
June 1, 2026
Bill placed on the Senate Legislative Calendar (Calendar No. 423) — formally eligible for a full floor vote. No floor date set yet. Banks keep pressing to tighten the yield carve-out before it gets there.
June 7, 2026
200+ crypto organizations — Coinbase, Ripple, Kraken, Circle, a16z among them — send a letter to Thune and Schumer urging a floor vote without delay. The pressure campaign is on; the floor date still isn't.
June 9, 2026
Ethics talks collapse. The closed-door meeting (Gillibrand, Gallego, Moreno, Lummis) breaks up without agreement after the GOP and White House withdraw the state-AG enforcement provision.
June 22, 2026
With weeks to go, CoinDesk reports the path is "not getting much clearer": negotiations split into Banking and Agriculture tracks, four issues unresolved, and Polymarket passage odds in the mid-40s (down from about 74% in May). Roughly 50 crypto-firm representatives run a Capitol Hill fly-in.
Week of July 13, 2026
Earliest realistic Senate floor window per industry trackers, if the ethics and committee issues clear first. Some Republicans (Hagerty) had hoped for pre-July 4; that now looks unlikely.
July 17, 2026
House Financial Services Committee holds a field hearing in New York — "Building the Future of Finance: How the CLARITY Act Unlocks Innovation" — to take industry input and build support. A House event, not a Senate vote.
Before August recess
The hard deadline. Floor vote needs 60 to clear cloture — all 53 Republicans plus 7 Democrats. Analysts warn that missing August would materially deteriorate the bill's 2026 prospects.
October 5, 2026
Midterm campaign recess. Effective deadline for any contested legislation this Congress.
Three steps remaining
Reconcile the Banking and Agriculture committee texts into a single bill — negotiations are currently split across two committee tracks
Resolve the four open issues — ethics rules, the DeFi developer shield (Sec. 604), Agriculture Committee Democrats' concerns, and stablecoin yield — then hold a Senate floor vote needing 60 to clear cloture (all 53 Republicans plus 7 Democrats)
Conference with the House-passed version, then presidential signature — Galaxy Research projects a possible signing the week of August 3 if the floor vote lands before recess

Calendar reality (per CoinDesk's April 21 analysis and FinTech Weekly's calendar tracker): contested legislation realistically commands 10–12 usable floor weeks in a midterm year, and the steps above are strictly sequential. Clearing Banking on May 14 was the hardest step. The August recess is the next forcing function; the October midterm recess is the final one.

What's at stake
If it passes

First statutory framework for digital asset markets in the U.S. SEC and CFTC jurisdictions codified. Builder certainty. Institutional on-ramp. JPMorgan calls it a positive catalyst for digital assets.

If it doesn't

Regulation-by-enforcement continues. Capital and projects migrate offshore. The GENIUS Act governs stablecoins in isolation with no broader market structure. The yield loophole stays open and unresolved.

For stablecoins specifically

Determines whether stablecoin yield becomes a regulated product category or an industry limbo. Defines the competitive boundary between crypto platforms and traditional banks.

For stablecoin infrastructure builders

Every protocol, facilitator, and compliance tool in the x402/AP2/ACP ecosystem needs to know which regulatory lane it operates in. The CLARITY Act is where those lanes get drawn.

Go deeper

Read the full bill text at Congress.gov. For legal analysis: Arnold & Porter's advisory is the most detailed statutory walkthrough. For the banking industry's objections: NASAA's January 2026 letter to the Senate Banking Committee.

Sources